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Saturday, September 21, 2013

Online forex trading: Of drawdown and recovery

by ’Kunle Adeyer

There is always downtime in all ramifications of life. It is always a crucial period when survival instincts and strategies come alive to those who want to overcome. My previous articles have been serially written involving education, live trading and discipline. But there comes a time when one goes overboard or something goes wrong. This is the acid test of a forex trader.

Every trader must be in this ‘mess’ once or many times. Drawdown is simply when your equity or trading fund falls short of the initial value. It is psychologically disturbing. It literarily is as if one’s business is sinking. It could still be tolerated if it is just the trader’s account but when it comes to funds or client’s account being managed; it is not a funny story or smiling time for traders.

I can guarantee you as a prospective trader that you will find yourself or your account in this situation, at least once, as compared to the late Tai Solarin’s ‘May your road be rough’. It will definitely be in forex to climb to the top. But for every problem there is a solution. I once wrote in this column about recovery plans and management. Recovery of drawdown to equity level or breakeven point and later profitability is the focus of such trader.

The very first thing is the belief that you can do it. If the courage or confidence is not there, then there is no way you can deploy the techniques even in the face of a sure trend. That is the reason why I proposed that one should start live trading early after training provided good training has been obtained. This refines you as a trader. I always tell my trainees that the difference between me and them is that I have somehow overcome fear and that they will go places if they surmount the market without fear.
In this quagmire, a trader should deploy the following. First, is profit management. I have used this weapon a lot of times to get positive results during drawdown.


A trader who lacks this technique may not have a backup to rely on. Profit management account gives me the psychological boost that something is in the kitty and I can always access, if need be.

The second thing is to adhere strictly to discipline. With discipline you can ride to the top again. Never be too much in a hurry to recover. Rely on the adage that a damaged/wounded skin takes time to heal.
Reduce your lot size in comparison to earlier ones. In addition, if your stop loss is not in place, never find it difficult to close your orders at losses to have fund to trade. It is better than you having a margin call or burn out. 

Thirdly, let your technical skills come alive and be bold to go for your ‘sure’ trade orders. You may also trade economic news to boost your account. Scalping – that is profiting on short trades – can help but never scalp too much not to incur the wrath of your broker if your broker discourages much scalping.
Hedging is another method as proposed in my article dated February 15 in this column.

Thursday, September 19, 2013

Best Forex Trading Indicators - 4 Simple Effective Ones For Bigger Profits

By Samuel Leslie Berkovits 

Here we will look at some of the best Forex Trading indicators and how you can combine them into a simple robust Forex trading strategy for long term gains.

No single Forex trading indicator works all the time by itself and the way you combine them is essential. Many traders make the mistake of the thinking the more indicators they combine the better - Wrong!
If you do this the system has too many elements to break; you only need a few and your Forex trading system will be simple and robust in the face of ever changing prices.
Right lets build our Forex trading system and look at some of the best Forex trading indicators to help you build a trend following Forex trading system. First Identify the Trend.

This is obvious by looking at a bar chart but you also want to use moving averages as well. Simple moving averages are great in terms of smoothing out the fluctuations and two great periods to use are first, the 40 day MA to identify the long term trend. Secondly, use the 20 day MA to buy and sell back to in a strong trend and you will find this moving average is excellent for getting in on a trend in motion, with optimium risk / reward. Spotting the Set Ups

We don't have time to cover this in detail here but there are a couple of points that are the key to maximizing profits. Firstly, be patient and only trade high odds set ups and secondly, make sure you trade breaks to new highs and lows all the big trends start and continue from them so you need to trade them.
Bollinger Bands - Check Volatility and Standard Deviation

Ask most traders what standard deviation of price is and you will probably get a blank look but an understanding of standard deviation of price and volatility is something that all forex traders need to know about and if you don't, make part of your forex education and learn about Bollinger Bands.

Bollinger Bands are not used to for market timing - but give you an all round view of volatility price and when you understand this concept, Bollinger Bands can help you in 3 ways:

They can alert you to potential big moves, help set targets and spot market value and entry levels.
Best Forex Trading Indicators for Confirming
When you spot a potential opportunity, you need to confirm the move and make sure price momentum is going the way you wish to trade. There are plenty of momentum indicators but for the last 25 Years I have found the following two the best. There easy to learn and apply, lets take a quick look at them.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI)
A great leading indicator to time your trading signals with. If the RSI supports your view of the market you can use it in strong trends - or when it diverges from the prevailing trend ( from over bought or over sold) to enter trades against the prevailing trend.

The Stochastic Indicator
The best Forex trading indicator of all for better market timing and when combined with the RSI you have a dynamite combination. The stochastic is a simple indicator but is the ultimate timing tool for timing trading signals in my view. If you use stochastic crossovers to confirm your move, you will get the odds on your side.

It's also very effective for timing contrary positions. A stochastic cross, from over bought or oversold levels, against the trend is a highly effective way of getting in on the big contrary trades.
Simple and Effective

There are other great indicators around such as the ADX indicator, MACD and many others but as a blend the above 4 indicators with a bar chart are my best forex trading indicators for profit and they have served me well over the last 25 years.

The indicators are easy to learn, apply and if blended correctly, can add a new dimension to your forex trading strategy.

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