When it comes to trading, one of the most neglected subjects are
those dealing with trading psychology. Most traders spend days, months
and even years trying to find the right system. But having a system is
just part of the game. Don't get us wrong, it is very important to have a
system that perfectly suits the trader, but it is as important as
having a money management plan, or to understand all psychology barriers
that may affect the trader decisions and other issues. In order to
succeed in this business, there must be equilibrium between all
important aspects of trading by Raul Lope.
In the trading environment, when you lose a trade, what is the
first idea that pops up in your mind? It would probably be, "There must
be something wrong with my system", or "I knew it, I shouldn't have
taken this trade" (even when your system signaled it). But sometimes we
need to dig a little deeper in order to see the nature of our mistake,
and then work on it accordingly.
When it comes to trading the Forex market as well as other
markets, only 5% of traders achieve the ultimate goal: to be consistent
in profits. What is interesting though is that there is just a tiny
difference between this 5% of traders and the rest of them. The top 5%
grow from mistakes; mistakes are a learning experience, they learn an
invaluable lesson on every single mistake made. Deep in their minds, a
mistake is one more chance to try it harder and do it better the next
time, because they know they might not get a chance the next time. And
at the end, this tiny difference becomes THE big difference.
Mistakes in the trading environment
Most of us relate a trading mistake to the outcome (in terms of
money) of any given trade. The truth is, a mistake has nothing to do
with it, mistakes are made when certain guidelines are not followed.
When the rules you trade by are violated. Take for instance the
following scenarios:
First scenario: The system signals a trade.
1. Signal taken and trade turns out to be a profitable trade.
Outcome of the trade: Positive, made money. Experience gained: Its good
to follow the system, if I do this consistently the odds will turn in my
favor. Confidence is gained in both the trader and the system. Mistake
made: None.
2. Signal taken and trade turns out to be a loosing trade.
Outcome of the trade: Negative, lost money. Experience gained: It is
impossible to win every single trade, a loosing trade is just part of
the business; our raw material, we know we can't get them all right.
Even with this lost trade, the trader is proud about himself for
following the system. Confidence in the trader is gained. Mistake made:
None.
3. Signal not taken and trade turns out to be a profitable
trade. Outcome of the trade: Neutral. Experience gained: Frustration,
the trader always seems to get in trades that turned out to be loosing
trades and let the profitable trades go away. Confidence is lost in the
trader self. Mistake made: Not taking a trade when the system signaled
it.
4. Signal not taken and trade turns out to be a loosing trade.
Outcome of the trade: Neutral. Experience gained: The trader will start
to think "hey, I'm better than my system". Even if the trader doesn't
think on it consciously, the trader will rationalize on every signal
given by the system because deep in his or her mind, his or her
"feeling" is more intelligent than the system itself. From this point
on, the trader will try to outguess the system. This mistake has
catastrophic effects on our confidence to the system. The confidence on
the trader turns into overconfidence. Mistake made: Not taking a trade
when system signaled it
Second Scenario: System does not signal a trade.
1. No trade is taken Outcome of the trade: Neutral Experience
gained: Good discipline, we only need to take trades when the odds are
in our favor, just when the system signals it. Confidence gained in both
the trader self and the system. Mistake made: None
2. A trade is taken, turns out to be a profitable trade. Outcome
of the trade: Positive, made money. Experience gained: This mistake has
the most catastrophic effects in the trader self, the system and most
importantly in the trader's trading career. You will start to think you
need no system, you know better from them all. From this point on, you
will start to trade based on what you think. Confidence in the system is
totally lost. Confidence in the trader self turns into overconfidence.
Mistake made: Take a trade when there was no signal from the system.
3. A trade is taken, turned out to be a loosing trade. Outcome
of the trade: negative, lost money. Experience gained: The trader will
rethink his strategy. The next time, the trader will think it twice
before getting in a trade when the system does not signal it. The trader
will go "Ok, it is better to get in the market when my system signals
it, only those trade have a higher probability of success". Confidence
is gained in the system. Mistake made: Take a trade when there was no
signal from the system
As you can see, there is absolutely no correlation between the
outcome of the trade and a mistake. The most catastrophic mistake even
has a positive trade outcome, made money, but this could be the
beginning of the end of the trader's career. As we have already stated,
mistakes must only be related to the violation of rules a trader trades
by.
All these mistakes were directly related to the signals given by
a system, but the same is applied when getting out of a trade. There
are also mistakes related to following a trading plan. For example,
risking more money on a given trade than the amount the trader should
have risked and many more.
Most mistakes can be avoided by first having a trading plan. A
trading plan includes the system: the criteria we use to get in and out
the market, the money management plan: how much we will risk on any
given trade, and many other points. Secondly, and most important, we
need to have the discipline to follow strictly our plan. We created our
plan when no trade was placed on, thus no psychology barriers were up
front. So, the only thing we are certain about is that if we follow our
plan, the decision taken is on our best interests, and in the long run,
these decisions will help us have better results. We don't have to worry
about isolated events, or trades that could had give us better results
at first, but then they could have catastrophic results in our trading
career.
How to deal with mistakes
There are many possible ways to properly manage mistakes. We will suggest the one that works better for us.
Step one: Belief change. Every mistake is a learning experience.
They all have something valuable to offer. Try to counteract the
natural tendency of feeling frustrated and approach mistakes in a
positive manner. Instead of yelling to everyone around and feeling
disappointed, say to yourself "ok, I did something wrong, what happened?
What is it?
Step two: Identify the mistake made. Define the mistake, find
out what caused the mistake, and try as hard as you can to effectively
see the nature of that mistake. Finding the mistake nature will prevent
you from making the same mistake again. More than often you will find
the answer where you less expected. Take for instance a trader that
doesn't follow the system. The reason behind this could be that the
trader is afraid of loosing. But then, why is he or she afraid? It could
be that the trader is using a system that does not fit him or her, and
finds difficult to follow every signal. In this case, as you can see,
the nature of the mistake is not in the surface. You need to try as hard
as you can to find the real reason of the given mistake.
Step three: Measure the consequences of the mistake. List the
consequences of making that particular mistake, both good and bad. Good
consequences are those that make us better traders after dealing with
the mistake. Think on all possible reasons you can learn from what
happened. For the same example above, what are the consequences of
making that mistake? Well, if you don't follow the system, you will
gradually loose confidence in it, and this at the end will put you into
trades you don't really want to be, and out of trades you should be in.
Step four: Take action. Taking proper action is the last and
most important step. In order to learn, you need to change your behavior. Make sure that whatever you do, you become
"this-mistake-proof". By taking action we turn every single mistake into
a small part of success in our trading career. Continuing with the same
example, redefining the system would be the trader's final step. The
trader would put a system that perfectly fits him or her, so the trader
doesn't find any trouble following it in future signals.
Understanding the fact that the outcome of any trade has nothing
to do with a mistake will open your mind to other possibilities, where
you will be able to understand the nature of every mistake made. This at
the same time will open the doors for your trading career as you work
and take proper action on every mistake made.
The process of success is slow, and plenty of times it is
attributed to repeated mistakes made and the constant struggle to get
past these mistakes, working on them accordingly. How we deal with them
will shape our future as a trader, and most importantly as a person.
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